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China’s new factory data shows a bright start to the year
  + stars: | 2024-04-01 | by ( ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
The Caixin/S&P Global manufacturing PMI rose to 51.1 in March from 50.9 the previous month, above analysts’ forecasts of 51.0 and marking an expansion for the fifth consecutive month. The upbeat results followed recent better-than-expected export and retail sales data, suggesting a bright start to the year for the world’s second-biggest economy. Official factory data published on Sunday also entered positive territory, offering relief to policymakers even as a crisis in the property sector remains a drag on the economy and confidence. The official purchasing managers’ index (PMI) rose to 50.8 in March from 49.1 in February, expanding for the first time in six months. But analysts say policymakers will need to roll out more stimulus to hit that target as they will not be able to count on the weak statistical base of 2022 which flattered 2023 growth data.
Persons: Li Qiang, , Wang Zhe, Wang Organizations: P Global, PMI, Sunday, Citi, Caixin Insight Locations: Beijing
China's manufacturing activity expanded for the first time in six months in March, an official factory survey showed on Sunday, offering relief to policymakers even as a crisis in the property sector remains a drag on the economy and confidence. New export orders rose into positive territory, breaking a 11-month slump, but employment continued to shrink, albeit at a slower rate, the PMI data showed. Premier Li Qiang announced an ambitious 2024 economic growth target of around 5% earlier this month at the annual meeting of the National People's Congress, China's rubber-stamp parliament. Citi on Thursday raised its economic growth forecast for China for this year to 5.0% from 4.6%, citing "recent positive data and policy delivery". China's cabinet on March 1 approved a plan aimed at promoting large-scale equipment upgrades and sales of consumer goods.
Persons: Zhou Maohua, Premier Li Qiang Organizations: PMI, China Everbright Bank, Manufacturing, Premier, National People's Congress, Citi Locations: Shandong, China, Japan
The official purchasing managers index, or PMI, rose from 49.1 in February to 50.8 in March. The monthly manufacturing PMI has mostly been under 50 over the past 12 months: Other than this month, factory activities only recorded an expansion in September. Zhao said the survey also showed some problems for companies remained, including increasing competition in industries and a lack of market demand. And it said 10.4 billion yuan ($1.4 billion) would go to upgrading industries and modernizing manufacturing. According to the survey released Sunday, the non-manufacturing PMI rose to 53 from 51.4 in February.
Persons: Zhao Qinghe, Zhao Organizations: BEIJING, , PMI, National Bureau, Statistics, National People’s Congress, Communist Locations: China
The annual reading is above the 2% target set by the central bank but is a slight deceleration from the 2.9% annual rate in December and January. Looking ahead to next week, it's all about the macroeconomic updates as the first quarter earnings season is mostly over. ET: ISM Manufacturing PMI After the bell: PVH Corp. (PVH), Canoo (GOEV) Tuesday, April 2 10:00 a.m. ET: ISM Services PMI Before the bell: Acuity Brands (AYI) After the bell: BlackBerry (BB), Levi Strauss (LEVI) Thursday, April 4 8:30 a.m. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade.
Persons: Dow, payrolls, Paychex, Calvin Klein, Tommy Hilfiger, Buster's, Levi Strauss, LEVI, Lamb Weston, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Eric Thayer Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal, Cal, Maine Foods, Conagra, PVH Corp, PMI, Maine, Brands, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Workers, Grand Central Market, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: U.S, Cal, Los Angeles , California
Wall Street could be in for another solid quarter as stocks have embarked on a strong start to the year. Specifically, in the second quarter, the S & P 500 was higher 9 out of 11 times, averaging a 2.7% gain. Significantly, two occurrences of those 10% first-quarter gains Detrick reviewed took place during election years, with the S & P 500 ending higher on the year. In 1976, the S & P 500 went on to register a 1.5% increase in the second quarter, and a 4.6% jump for the rest of the year. The Wall Street firm maintained its year-end S & P 500 target of 5,050, representing a 3.8% slide from Wednesday's close.
Persons: Ryan Detrick, We've, there'd, Detrick, CNBC's, Research's Sam Stovall, Stovall, Piper Sandler, Craig Johnson, Brian Nick, Nick, John Stoltzfus, Ayako Yoshioka, Yoshioka, CFRA's Stovall, FactSet Organizations: Nvidia, VanEck Semiconductor, Dow Jones, Carson Group, Macro, PMI, Manufacturing, ADP, Survey, Services PMI, Weston Holdings, Conagra Brands, Consumer Credit Locations: U.S
Setting a down payment goalBefore you can set a down payment goal, you first need to figure out how much you'll need for a lender to approve you for a mortgage. Determining the size of down payment neededThe minimum size of your down payment will depend on the loan program you use. Exploring down payment assistance programsDown payment assistance programs can help cover part or all of your down payment. But if you can save up a down payment of at least 20% of the home's purchase price, you'll avoid paying PMI (private mortgage insurance), which can reduce your monthly payment. To save for a down payment, create (and stick to) a budget, reduce unnecessary expenses, increase your income through side jobs, automate your savings, and explore down payment assistance programs.
Persons: You'll, you'll, windfalls, Windfalls Organizations: Netflix, Spotify, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, PMI Locations: homebuyers, Chevron
How the Federal Reserve plans to proceed with interest rates will be in focus next week after some recent signs of hotter inflation muddied the outlook. In December, policymakers had penciled in at least three quarter percentage point rate cuts in 2024. On Friday, stocks were headed for a losing week even after the S & P 500, for example, notched a fresh closing record just this week. The chipmaker will be under increased scrutiny next week as CEO Jensen Huang takes the stage for the company's annual AI conference. TD Wealth's Vaidya anticipates four rate cuts coming in the third and fourth quarters, though he said that outlook will remain data dependent.
Persons: Sid Vaidya, Jensen Huang, Lorie Logan, Molly McGown, McGown, Brian Nick, Wealth's Vaidya, Nick, Mills, , Samantha Subin Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Nvidia, Dallas, TD Securities, Securities, McGown, Bank of America, Housing, Micron Technology, Philadelphia Fed, PMI, PMI Manufacturing, PMI Services SA, Nike, FedEx, Darden Locations: U.S, NAHB
The $1.7 trillion private credit market has delayed a US recession, according to Tony Dwyer, Canaccord Genuity chief market strategist. AdvertisementAn economic recession has been delayed, but not averted amid ongoing weakness in the manufacturing sector, according to Cannacord Genuity chief market strategist Tony Dwyer. But I really think it's the private credit market that has help up companies that would have ordinarily not had access to capital. The private credit market has soared over the past decade as investors reached for yield amid a prolonged period of near-zero interest rates, with less than $300 billion invested in private credit in 2009. And for the first time in history, we have private credit," Dwyer said.
Persons: Tony Dwyer, Canaccord, Dwyer, Cannacord, it's Organizations: CNBC, Federal Reserve, PMI, Fed
First-time homebuyer no down payment programsIt's possible to get a mortgage with no down payment. VA mortgage borrowers enjoy the ability to put no money down and interest rates that are typically lower than conventional mortgage rates. Other low down payment mortgage optionsIf you don't qualify for VA or USDA no down payment home loans, there are other strategies you can use to reduce the down payment you're required to pay. Preparing for the application processTo ensure you qualify for a no down payment mortgage, work on getting your credit score in a good place. Forgoing a down payment may mean paying a higher interest rate and higher monthly payment on your mortgage.
Persons: you'll, Here's who's, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac Organizations: US Department of Veterans Affairs, US Department of Agriculture, Federal Housing Administration, Federal Housing Finance Agency, USDA, Chevron Locations: homebuyers
HONG KONG (AP) — China’s exports and imports for the first two months of the year beat estimates, an indication that demand may be improving as Beijing attempts to boost economic recovery. Exports for the January-February period grew 7.1% from a year earlier, customs data released Thursday showed, higher than the 2.3% rise in December. Imports rose 3.5% from the same time last year, up from a 0.2% growth in December. Demand for Chinese exports has also been weak since the Federal Reserve and central banks in Europe and Asia began raising interest rates last year to cool inflation that was at multi-decade highs. China has set a target of around 5% for economic growth this year, Chinese Premier Li Qiang revealed this week at the annual meeting of the National People’s Congress.
Persons: Li Qiang Organizations: , Beijing, Federal Reserve, PMI, National People’s Congress Locations: HONG KONG, China, Europe, Asia
As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY, TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER. NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, chipmaker, Jim, Ford, Wells, Morgan Stanley, Morgan, Jefferies, We've, Tom Jorden, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Apple, Nvidia, Samsung, Ford Motor, Computers, Nasdaq, Alto, Procter, Gamble, Wealth Management, P Global, Services PMI, Jim Cramer's Charitable
It’s because the Stanley tumbler is arguably one of the most viral products of the moment. So Stanley maker PMI has taken a different approach with its newest limited edition tumbler launch of the much-hyped chocolate and gold Quencher. The new chocolate gold Stanley tumbler. From StanleyOn Tuesday, Stanley unveiled the limited-edition chocolate gold Quencher tumbler on its website. When Target dropped a limited-edition Valentine’s collection of Stanley tumblers in bright pink and cherry red tones in December, the situation wasn’t pretty.
Persons: New York CNN — Stanley, Stanley tumbler, it’s, Stanley, Nike —, ” Andrew Lipp, , ” Lipp, William Stanley, Jr, marveled, Stanley tumblers, ” Matt Navarro, Lipp Organizations: New, New York CNN, Stanley, PMI, Nike, CNN, , Starbucks Locations: New York, Australia
But the Caixin manufacturing PMI — which focuses on smaller, private companies — rose to 50.9 in February, up from 50.8 in January, according to S&P Global, which compiled the survey. The divergence in the output and new order sub-indexes is likely related to differences in geographic and sector coverage, as the Caixin PMI covers more southern regions, they said. “Overall, the manufacturing sector continued to improve in February,” said Wang Zhe, senior economist at Caixin Insight Group, in a statement that accompanied the Caixin PMI data. “Looking ahead, the focus should be on the effectiveness of the measures [announced previously by Beijing to boost growth],” Wang said. “Fiscal policy will lead the way,” HSBC analysts said Friday.
Persons: ” Goldman Sachs, , Wang Zhe, ” Wang, Xi Jinping, Lintao Zhang, Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, National Bureau of Statistics, P, National People’s Congress, PMI, Caixin Insight, , of People, Communist Party’s Politburo, NPC, Xinhua, HSBC Locations: China, Hong Kong, Beijing, Southern China, Guangdong, Zheijang, ” China
Next week, the first full trading week of March, macroeconomic concerns will take center stage for investors. Next week, the Fed chief is largely anticipated to stick to the same talking points in testifying before Congress. In fact, the February jobs report, due out next Friday, is expected to show a moderation in payroll gains. Hourly Earnings preliminary (February) 8:30 a.m. Average Workweek preliminary (February) 8:30 a.m. Manufacturing Payrolls (February) 8:30 a.m. Nonfarm Payrolls (February) 8:30 a.m. Private Nonfarm Payrolls (February) 8:30 a.m. Unemployment Rate (February) — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Jeff Cox and Yun Li contributed to this report.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Shannon Saccocia, Kim Forrest, Webull, Michael Hartnett, CNBC's Yun Li, Melissa Brown, Brown, Wealth's Saccocia, Saccocia, Nonfarm Payrolls, , Michael Bloom, Jeff Cox, Yun Li Organizations: Federal, Fed, Capitol, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, FactSet, Barclays, Bokeh Capital Partners, Labor Department, Bitcoin, BofA Global Research, Apple, Nvidia, Ross Stores, Costco Wholesale, Kroger, . Semiconductor, Broadcom, PMI, PMI Services, Services PMI, Ross, Target, ADP, Labor, Consumer Credit Locations: U.S, REITs, Japan
Stanley cups have been wreaking havoc at Target stores and tearing tween relationships apart. AdvertisementWith Stanley cups stoking utter chaos among desperate Target shoppers (and employees) — and tearing apart middle schools — the brand is looking for ways to calm the fervor around its limited-edition launches. tumbler comes in an "ornate" striped box, according to Stanley, featuring a "rich ganache powdercoat finish" and gold accents. Advertisement"One of our priorities is to prevent bots and resellers from depleting stock meant for our genuine fans," Stanley said. Stanley SVP Matt Navarro told CNN he hopes the changes the company made "provide all consumers with a wider aperture and more user-friendly [online] experience to get the Stanley products they love."
Persons: Stanley, , tumbler, EQL, they'd, Andrew Lipp, Matt Navarro Organizations: Service, CNN, PMI Worldwide, Nike Locations: Australia
(Photo by Vernon Yuen/NurPhoto via Getty Images) Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific markets were set to bounce Friday after a subdued session as investors awaited manufacturing data from China. While most Asia stock markets were lower on Thursday, China's CSI 300 closed almost 2% higher at 3,516.08 ahead of its purchasing managers' index reading for February. Official data is expected to show manufacturing PMI at 49.1, according to a Reuters Poll forecast. The private Caixin manufacturing final PMI is expected to come in at 50.6. A PMI reading above 50 indicates expansion, while below that denotes a contraction.
Persons: Vernon Yuen Organizations: Getty, Nurphoto, China's CSI, PMI, Nikkei Locations: Hong Kong, China, Asia, Pacific, China's, Chicago, Osaka, Australia, Korea
Dollar firms ahead of busy data week with U.S. inflation in focus
  + stars: | 2024-02-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The dollar was on the front foot on Monday ahead of a packed week filled with key economic releases that will provide further clues on the global interest rate outlook, with a U.S. inflation reading taking center stage. The dollar was on the front foot on Monday ahead of a packed week filled with key economic releases that will provide further clues on the global interest rate outlook, with a U.S. inflation reading taking center stage. The kiwi had risen 1.2% last week, helped by broad dollar weakness and the risk of a rate hike from the RBNZ on Wednesday. "If anything, the (data) may be stronger than markets currently expect, and that will likely give a modest boost to the dollar," said CBA's Kong. "But at the same time, any gains in the dollar will likely be pretty modest.
Persons: Carol Kong, Sterling, Jane Foley, CBA's Organizations: Reserve Bank of New, New Zealand, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, of Japan's, U.S, Rabobank, U.S . Commodity Futures, Fed Locations: Japan, Australia, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, China, Asia, U.S
Patrick Pleul | Picture Alliance | Getty ImagesGermany's housebuilding sector has gone from bad to worse in recent months. "The housebuilding sector is, I would say, a little bit in a confidence crisis," Dominik von Achten, chairman of German building materials company Heidelberg Materials, told CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe" on Thursday. In January both the current sentiment and expectations for the German residential construction sector fell to all-time lows, according to data from the Ifo Institute for Economic Research. The business climate reading fell to a negative 59 points, while expectations dropped to negative 68.9 points in the month. Habeck pointed to higher interest rates as a key challenge for the economy, explaining that those had led to reduced investments, especially in the construction sector.
Persons: Patrick Pleul, Dominik von Achten, CNBC's, Klaus Wohlrabe, Robert Habeck, Wohlrabe, It's, Achten Organizations: Getty, Heidelberg Materials, Ifo Institute for Economic Research, Hamburg Commercial Bank, PMI, Climate Locations: Germany, Ifo, Heidelberg
In the final week of February, Wall Street will strive to maintain its AI-fueled rally even as economic concerns linger and the Federal Reserve's favorite inflation measure is on deck. But many worry the writing is on the wall for these market leaders as economic and inflation risks linger. The 'lone cloud' of inflation The Fed's preferred inflation gauge will also be released in the week ahead. Investors are concerned that sticky inflation will mean that the Fed will hold onto its higher-for-longer interest rate policy. Next week will also be the final week of February, with stocks headed for another strong month of gains.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Patrick McDonough, Europe's, PGIM's McDonough, McDonough, Charlie Ashley, Dhaval Joshi, Joshi, Ashley, John Williams, TJX Cos Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Japan's Nikkei, Catalyst Funds, BCA Research, CPI, PPI, Dow, New, Dallas Fed, Fidelity National Information Services, Richmond Fed, eBay, Enterprise, Cruise Line Holdings, New York Federal Reserve Bank, York, Monster Beverage, Paramount Global, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Autodesk, Body, Hormel, PMI, Manufacturing Locations: U.S, Lowe's, Chicago, . Kansas, Michigan
The consumers said PMI withheld information that would have impacted their decisions to buy Stanley products in the first place. Stanley cups have become massively popular. Social media drew attention to lead in Stanley cupsConcern about lead in Stanley cups became widespread at the end of January when several TikTokers posted videos of themselves home-testing their water bottles for the substance. Although lead is dangerous to humans, public health experts have said that Stanley cups likely don't pose a threat. Despite the controversy around the traces of lead in its products and the recent lawsuits, Stanley cups remain popular.
Persons: Stanley, , Mariana Franzetti, Robin Krohn, meritless, Franzetti, Matt Fowler KC, Plaintiff, Jack Caravanos, Stanley Quenchers, Brian van der, Krohn Organizations: Service, Pacific Market International, Business, PMI, Stanley, Clothing, Social, Washington Post, Hydro, Hydro Flask's Locations: Washington State
Asia-Pacific markets appeared set to trade mixed Thursday, with a slew of economic data from the region on tap, while investors also assess the U.S. Federal Reserve possibly delaying interest rate cuts. In Australia, the S&P/ASX 200 opened marginally higher, up 0.03%, as the nation's Judo Bank composite purchasing managers' index for February showed a return to growth, at 51.8. The monthly index is a leading indicator for business activity in Australia's manufacturing sector. Futures for Hong Kong's Hang Seng index stood at 16,447, pointing to a weaker start compared with the HSI's close of 16,503.1Japan's Nikkei 225 was set to rise as investors awaited the release of Japan's Jibun Bank flash purchasing managers' index. Nikkei futures contract in Chicago was at 38,745 and its counterpart in Osaka was at 38,410 against the index's last close of 38,262.16The Bank of Korea is slated to announce its interest rate decision later, with economists polled by Reuters expecting the bank to hold rates at 3.50%.
Organizations: U.S . Federal, nation's Judo Bank, Futures, Nikkei, Japan's, of, Reuters Locations: Asia, Pacific, Australia, Chicago, Osaka, of Korea
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere is uneven recovery across different sectors and member states of euro zone economy: economistChris Williamson, chief business economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, discusses the latest euro zone flash PMI data and explains how it will impact the European Central Bank's next interest rate decision.
Persons: Chris Williamson Organizations: P Global Market Intelligence, Central Bank's
The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S & P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite each snapped a five-week advance. On average, market strategists on Wall Street anticipate the S & P 500 will end the year at 4,936, according to a CNBC survey . The equal-weighted S & P 500 index is up just 1.7% in 2024, trailing far behind the market-cap weighted benchmark. Initial Claims (02/17) 9:45 a.m. PMI Composite preliminary (February) 9:45 a.m. S & P PMI Manufacturing preliminary (February) 9:45 a.m. S & P PMI Services preliminary (February) 10 a.m. Existing Homes Sales (January) Earnings: Booking Holdings , Live Nation Entertainment , Intuit , Edison International , Dominion Energy , Moderna , PG & E , Keurig Dr. Pepper Friday, February 23, 2024 Earnings: Warner Bros.
Persons: chipmaker, Ayako Yoshioka, Yoshioka, Jerome Powell, Josh Emanuel, everybody's, Emanuel, Russell, They're, Chris Chen, Chen, Dr, Pepper, Nick Wells, Kif Leswing Organizations: Nvidia, CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Investor, Treasury, Wilshire Associates, American Association of, Insight Financial, Walmart, Home, Alto Networks, Diamondback Energy, Caesars Entertainment, Marathon, Devices, Chicago, PMI, Holdings, Nation Entertainment, Intuit, Edison International, Dominion Energy, Moderna, Warner Bros Locations: U.S, Santa Monica, Calif
Chinese leader Xi Jinping said on New Year's Eve that the nation's economy had grown "more resilient and dynamic this year." Meanwhile, famed hedge fund manager and founder of Dallas-based Hayman Capital Kyle Bass said the country's heavily indebted property market has triggered a wave of defaults among public developers. That's a problem, given China's real estate market can account for as much as a fifth of the nation's GDP. "This is just like the U.S. financial crisis on steroids," Bass said, referring to China's default-ridden property market. The Institute of International Finance said Beijing has the policy capacity to push China's economy toward its growth potential and stuck to its above consensus forecast for 2024 growth at 5%, in a recent blog post.
Persons: Eswar Prasad, Mohamed El, Xi Jinping, there's, Paul Krugman, Krugman, Kristalina Georgieva, Hayman, Hayman Capital Kyle Bass, Bass, isn't Organizations: Future Publishing, CSI, China's National Bureau, Statistics, Allianz, International Monetary Fund, Nikkei, New York Times, Monetary Fund, Economic, IMF, Dallas, Hayman Capital, of International Finance Locations: Jiangsu, China, Nikkei Asia, U.S, Europe, tatters, Davos, Beijing
download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. While shipments to retailers and distributors can outpace actual consumer sales of the pouches, those year-over-year growth numbers indicate that Zyn sales are booming in the US. A spokesperson for Philip Morris International told Business Insider that "the best thing anyone worried about their health can do is to quit, or never start, using nicotine. "ZYN is marketed exclusively to current adult nicotine consumers as an alternative — with cigarettes being the most harmful nicotine product," the spokesperson added.
Persons: , Philip Morris, Zyn, It's, Chuck Schumer Organizations: Service, Philip Morris International, Swedish, Business, GOP, PMI
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